There is less than a week left before the release of Cyberpunk 2077. Analysts predict an extremely successful start to the game — 30 million copies sold in the first year. In the entire history, only about a dozen games have managed to achieve such results. But for this, the title needs to get at least 90 points on Metacritic, Bloomberg clarifies.

The start of sales of Cyberpunk 2077 will begin on December 10 — eight years after the first announcement of the CD Projekt RED game. Against the background of the upcoming launch, the shares of the Polish company are growing rapidly.

Developers and investors are pinning their hopes on the game, given the rarity of CD Projekt RED launches, Bloomberg writes in its material. Unlike competitors like Ubisoft and Activision Blizzard, which release AAA games annually, CD Projekt RED’s last big release was five years ago.

The situation before the start

  • Cyberpunk 2077 has become one of the most expensive projects of the Polish company — $ 130 million. The previous major title The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt cost the studio about $67 million, of which $ 35 million was spent on advertising. It is not yet specified how large the advertising costs of the new new one turned out to be.
  • Cyberpunk 2077 has already affected CD Projekt RED shares several times before its release. Last year, the securities of Poles doubled in price, their growth did not stop in 2020 (largely due to the COVID-19 pandemic).
  • But from time to time there were also falls in the value of shares. One of the last was about a month ago after the news about crunches in the studio and the next postponement of the release of the game.

Forecasts for the near future

  • Analysts believe that in the first year of sales, the game will sell 30 million copies. This is more than was sold by another hit of the Poles, The Witcher 3, over the past five years since its release.
  • If Cyberpunk 2077 meets the expectations of experts, then it will take the tenth place in the top of the best-selling games of all time. By the way, earlier the tenth line in the list was occupied by The Witcher 3.

Top 11 best-selling games in history. The rating does not take into account games released only on Nintendo platforms.Action RPG will be able to achieve such results thanks to, among other things, a good time for release.

  • Cyberpunk 2077 will practically not face the competition of AAA titles at the exit, analysts say. Some of the major projects (for example, Halo Infinite and Deathloop) have changed the launch date to a later one due to the pandemic. Others, like Call of Duty: Black Ops Cold War, were not very interesting to players.
  • At the same time, the future of Cyberpunk 2077 may be greatly influenced by the ratings of game critics. If they are not high enough, title sales will collapse after them. As well as vice versa.

Reviews on different platforms may vary, but any score below 90 points (on Metacritic) it can lead to negative consequences. 95 points will give a small positive effect. And 98 or more points will cause a very positive reaction.

Michal Wojciechowski

Analyst at Ipopema Securities

But despite the fact that critics have not yet rated Cyberpunk 2077, the first sales of the game may still be successful. According to CD Projekt RED, the number of pre-orders of the title is already “very pleasing” to the studio.

Note that the first journalistic reviews on Cyberpunk 2077 may appear today. However, there are still four days left before the official start of sales. It will be possible to launch the game on PC, Xbox One and PS4 (the title will also support backward compatibility with new generation consoles).

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